参考号：EM13133266

有人可以帮助我的纸张流动更好，纠正语法错误并使其听起来更好吗？

过度自信

每个人都过度自信。过度自信是当您认为自己比实际情况更可能正确的时候。过度自信的效果是一种安全的偏见，某人在判断中的主观信心可靠地比其客观性更大，尤其是当信心水平相对较高时。我们在形成判断时的直观启发式方法，以及我们渴望相信自己的假设，这是由于过度自信，这使我们过度估计了自己的表现，并且我们的表现不足。

The effects of being overconfident, people tend to follow what they have been taught in life, which leads to be confident in the task that they are going to perform, and the fall short of what they expected. Overconfidence is a real problem. When you are too sure of yourself, and that you’ve got something right, then you don’t try to improve it. When you don’t check your facts, or try to learn more about it, you get it wrong. For example, if you were taking a test, and you felt you aced it, and you find out that you got a 70% out of a 100%, Is because you had overconfidence; which subjected you to be in your better judgment that gave you a lesser accuracy.

已经对律师，医生，护士，经理，企业家，投资银行家和其他职业道路进行了几项研究，发现他们倾向于对自己的观点充满信心并高估其专业知识。最近对一项研究发现，最常见的认知误差之一是对初始诊断的过早闭合。研究表明，一旦医生做出诊断，她或他就没有重新审视。这导致了错误。

总之，在做出关键决策时，您应该始终质疑自己的假设，偏见和知识；因为过度自信会让您希望我们先准备好一些，并会为您准备错误。